russian military fails

Russian Military Fails - The Department of Defense (FD) shares weekly assessments of the latest military developments surrounding Ukraine using expert perspectives from our key military partners.

The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of Defense or any other United States government agency.

Russian Military Fails

In the first week of the war, Russian ground forces were forced out of the Ukrainian cities of Kharkiv and Kyiv, having failed to establish air superiority (heavy losses of aircraft and helicopters), and troops were too small to kill. Three simultaneous attacks (into Kyiv, Kharkiv, and northern Crimea), a combination of fires and operations, serious practical problems, and more power than Ukrainians suspect. Russia's power in the Black Sea led to success in its operations in the south, with Russian forces withdrawing from the Crimean Peninsula and seizing southern Ukraine. Although Ukraine is fighting well and disrupting plans for a quick Russian victory, the situation remains dire. Russia is moving to encircle Kyiv and Kharkiv in what appears to be a long-term firestorm - resulting in massive destruction of populated areas - making significant progress in the south.

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Air and Air Defence: Russia has not been able to establish air superiority and has not been able to provide sufficient air support to its ground forces.

Navy: In the early days of the war, the Russian Navy's objectives were to establish naval power north of the Black Sea from Sevastopol to the southern Ukrainian border and the Sea of ​​Azov. The Black Sea fleet will continue to serve as a support arm of Russia's land-based military operations, cutting off Ukraine's access to the Black Sea.

NUCLEAR FORCES: Over the weekend, Putin gave a televised speech urging his defense minister and chief of staff to deploy Russia's nuclear defense forces in the "correct specificity for war." The decision is a reflection of the strategy of "escalation and escalation," the Russian military doctrine that threatens to use strategic nuclear weapons to end the conflict on Moscow's best terms. For the United States and its allies, however, Putin's decision to raise nuclear weapons came as a surprise. Despite concerns about the threat, Putin's words did not match the "difficult visible moves" that Russia's nuclear weapons alternative suggests, according to the US Department of Defense.

: Russian advances have been significantly slowed by the strength of Ukrainian forces, as most of its forces are limited to roads and logistical issues. The Russians have enough combat power to take the initiative and defeat Ukrainian defenses, but they may use more airstrikes and artillery.

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For the first time in its history, NATO will activate the NATO Response Force (NRF) - a contingent of land, air, sea and specialized units that can be deployed quickly in the Baltic state - to improve the defense posture in the Baltic states. . The United States sends another 7,000 troops, mostly an armored brigade combat team from the 3rd Infantry Division, and various reinforcement units. The United States has put another 5,000 troops on alert for deployment to Europe.

Many countries and organizations have committed to providing equipment and funds to support Ukraine. Germany, Sweden, Finland, and the United States all offered money and equipment. Repatriation of aircraft equipment to Ukraine is strictly controlled due to Russian sanctions and embargoes. The Russian military will completely cut off shipping routes by sea. Delivery channels to Ukraine across the borders of NATO countries are now open. If Russia moves to close these return channels, Ukraine may lose the resources to continue the embargo.

In a major show of unity in the wake of the Kremlin's nuclear war, NATO allies issued a public statement. In a major speech, German Chancellor Olaf Scholtz committed Germany to NATO's nuclear sharing program, along with other defense and foreign policy initiatives, including promises to more than increase Germany's defense spending. This is reflected in indications last year that Germany was considering ending its nuclear sharing arrangement with the United States. Meanwhile, the French minister reminded the world that Putin must know that NATO has nuclear weapons. Such strong statements show that NATO stands firm in the face of Russia's nuclear threats.

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The Russian offensive is riddled with strategic, operational, and tactical errors, and as a result, we conclude that the Kremlin is behind its own time on the offensive. In particular, Russia's air strikes at this time were completely ineffective. The Russian military has not been able to establish air superiority over Ukraine, and they suffer from heavy airstrikes and instability. The lack of air success prevented Russia from using its impressive arsenal of aircraft and helicopters. On the ground, Russia collapsed northward, ending up outside Kyiv and Kharkiv. Accordingly, the Russian army began to surround the two cities and may begin to besiege them. In the south, the Russians are more successful, breaking out of the Crimean Peninsula, threatening to capture the port of Mariupol, and claiming the Ukrainian city of Kherson. Russia also established maritime sovereignty in the North Black Sea.

Over the next week, we predict that Russia will increase pressure on Kyiv and Kharkiv, intensifying both challenges. As delivery becomes more difficult, the pressure on Kyiv will increase, so we believe this week will be important to decide whether the capital will fall under the control of the Russian army. In the coming week, Russia may change tactics and renew its push to establish air power. Although Russia is unlikely to expel the Ukrainian air force and air force, Russia will continue to expand its airspace to bolster air support for the offensive. Although Ukraine fought bravely and effectively, Russia still enjoyed a significant equipment and numerical advantage. The Kremlin is likely to revise its tactics based on its poor first week of campaigning, which could be more successful next week.

Today's News US Army Col. Col. Benjamin Johnson, US Navy Col. Cdr. Daniel Vardiman, US Air Force Col. Lt. Col. Tyson Wetzel, US Senior Col. Marine Corps Col. JB Barranco,

Each year, the Defense Services hosts military partners from branches of the US military and the military forces of America's allies and partners as part of a twelve-month fellowship program.

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Google, Meta and Twitter are working on Russian government accounts to prevent the spread of disinformation online.

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Related Experts: Benjamin G. Johnson, Daniel Vardiman, Tyson Wetzel, John B. Barranco, Mark J. Massa, Alexandra Marine

Photo: Ukrainian soldiers stand with captured Russian military vessels in the Black Sea city of Mykolaiv, southern Ukraine, Wednesday, March 2, 2022. Photo via EYEPRESS/Reuters.

Ukraine Invasion: Russia's Military Is Adapting After Early Failures

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Two weeks into Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine, Western military observers watch a civilian tragedy unfold as they try to make sense of events on the battlefield. At this time, the battle was not without surprise for the Russian army. This can be partly explained by the lack of operational planning based on political ambitions and disdain for Ukrainians' determination to resist. Even after the initial failure to capture Kyiv, the Russian army showed serious problems with logistics and the coordination of the various branches of its forces.

All this raises the question of whether the Russian military is suffering from incompetent and corrupt leadership or organizational weaknesses. It seems difficult for Russia to replicate the success of its elite military forces on a large scale against an established adversary. But the military's approach to breeding appears to be responsible for many of the challenges in the field.

In October 2021, the battalion will send tactical units to the borders of Russia, Ukraine, occupied Crimea and then Belarus. In Russian brigades or divisions, the first battalion consists only of contract soldiers and professional soldiers. The same is sometimes true of the 2nd Battalion - in the VDV Air Force,

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